politicartoons | Mid term polling : Princeton Consortium

Princeton Election Consortium has an interesting take on the current tea leaves, and it's good to see a nerd-off between Nate Silver and Sam Wang. Some states are already posting early voting returns, and the most interesting comment (I think) was this:

The result is going to be 48 D, 49 R, 1 I (Kansas).

[Assuming the Independent wins in Kansas, and they would caucus with the Democrats, wouldn't this would mean the Democrats would control the Senate since Joe Biden is the President of the Senate?]

3) LA and GA will go into run-off.

[I've seen several reports that suggest this election will be as close as the Presidental 2000 election, and fully expect recounts and challenges; and it could very likely we won't know Wednesday morning if Harry Reid will be in charge of the Senate.]

4) The Dems are the ones with the Plan B already set to go for #3 above (they have the money set aside for this), the Reps are not — they are assuming they will take 50+ on election night.

Interesting that some have noted that Republicans should have been doing much better and things shouldn't be this close, if they were going to run against "Obama-Care." From the comments I heard Joe Scarborough say that that things are this close, even if the r’s take over the majority, is already a defeat for them. This is an incredibly favorable map for them. That is, if they cannot take over the majority with this map, they are truly in bad shape.